Wind
shear eyed in deadly crash of FedEx cargo jet
View video of the accident Tuesday AM in Tokyo

TOKYO – Wind shear may have caused the
crash of a FedEx jet that cartwheeled on the runway at Tokyo's
main international airport and burst into a fireball, investigators said
Monday, but experts noted that the model was notoriously difficult to land.
The American pilot and co-pilot — the only two
people on board — were killed when the MD-11 cargo plane bounced on its landing
at Tokyo's Narita international airport, slammed onto the runway
and tipped onto its side before exploding into flames.
Kazuhito Tanakajima, an aviation safety official at
the Transport Ministry, said the crash may have been the result of "wind
shear," sudden changes in wind that can lift or smash an aircraft into the
ground during landing.
But Tanakajima said the wind speed
alone was not necessarily dangerous. He said there was headwind of about 45 miles
per hour (72 kilometers per hour), and a crosswind of about 7 miles per hour.
Wind shear is a sudden change in the speed and
direction of the wind, and happens relatively frequently. But a dangerous
localized form — called a microburst — can cause planes to lose airspeed
suddenly and or lift abruptly if a headwind suddenly changes to a tail wind
during takeoff or landing, said Patrick Smith, a Boston based pilot and
aviation analyst.
During the 1970s and 1980s, microbursts were blamed
for a number of aviation disasters in the United States that helped usher in a
new generation of wind shear detection technology.
Smith described a wind speed of 45 mph as unusually
powerful.
"It is possible that shears from these gusts,
together with known instability issues of the MD-11, led to the accident."
He said the aircraft is unusually sensitive on the
controls but the downside is a tendency for pilots to over-control during a
bounced or otherwise unstable landing, which in severe cases can lead to a
total loss of control.
The MD-11 has had no fatal crashes since 1999 and
was largely retired from passenger service because of the introduction of more
economical planes.
Tomoki Kuwano, a former Japan Airlines pilot
and aviation expert, said the MD-11 can be hard to land.
"In the past, the MD-11 has a record of
landing failure," he said. "And when that happens it often flips
over."
In 1999, an MD-11 flipped over and burst into
flames, killing three people during a crash landing in a storm in Hong
Kong. And in 1997 one of the planes landed hard, flipped and caught fire
while landing in Newark, N.J.
Monday's was the first deadly crash at Narita
— the main air hub for international flights to Tokyo
— since the airport opened in 1978. According to the U.S. Federal Aviation
Administration, pilot Kevin Kyle Mosley, 54, of Hillsboro, Ore.,
and co-pilot Anthony Stephen Pino, 49, of San Antonio, Texas —
were killed as they landed the flight from Guangzhou, China.
FedEx, which just last month opened its Asian hub
in Guangzhou, said it was investigating the cause of the accident.
"We will continue to work closely with the
applicable authorities as we seek to determine the cause for this tragic
incident," the company said in a statement.